Monday, October 15, 2018

Sports Betting: Recapping the week that was. (Week 7 FIVE and Week 6 Three and OUT)

In every betting loss, or win, but especially losses, there are lessons learned. Over the weekend I learned a valuable lesson: When you notice something, don't go away from it.

NFL Three and OUT

Results: 1-2 Season Total 9-9 (.500)

I should have stuck with fading the Texans, who failed to cover yet again.

1. Carolina @ Washington (-1) [45]

Pick: Carolina to win on the ML.

Result: Carolina 17 Washington 23 - Horrid game by a Panther's defense that I thought gave them the edge.

2. Jacksonville (-3) @ Dallas [40.5]

Pick: Jacksonville to COVER -3

Result: Jacksonville 7  Dallas 40 - What in the teal HELL happened to the Jaguars?

3. Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (-3.5)  [57.5]

Pick: OVER 57.5

Result: Tampa Bay 29 Atlanta 34 - This was an easy one.  IF I would have stuck fading the Texans I would have had another winning week. Lesson learned.


College football FIVE

Results: 3-2  Season: 15-19-1 (.429)

We continue to come up JUST SHORT of a big winning week. This week started out strong (3-0) before finishing with a whimper.

1. Washington (-3) @ Oregon. [57.5]

Pick: Oregon to win on the ML

Result: Washington 27 Oregon 30 - The Ducks WANTED to mess this up, but they didn't, and in the end they put themselves in the Pac-12 driver's seat.

2. Texas Tech @ TCU (-7.5) [62]

Pick: Texas Tech to COVER +7.5

Result: Texas Tech 17 TCU 14 - HUGE win for the Red Raiders in a season where they are, surprisingly, looking like they're going to save Kingsbury's job.

3. Duke @ Georgia Tech (-3) [53.5]

Pick: Duke to COVER +3

Result: Duke 28 Georgia Tech 14 - Big win for the Blue Devils as well. They played exactly how I thought they might and beat a bad Tech team.

4. Colorado @ USC (-7) [58.5]

Pick: Colorado to COVER +7

Result: Colorado 20 USC 31 - I honestly thought the Buffs had a better than average chance of winning this game, but they got out-muscled by a USC team that's talented, but poorly coached.

5. Ole Miss (-6.5) @ Arkansas [70]

Pick: Ole Miss to COVER -6.5

Result: Ole Miss 37  Arkansas 33 - Just another weird result in a weird day of college football. So many upsets on Saturday, more on that soon, and Arkansas actually playing football for a change was one of them.


Instead of commenting on the rest of the games here I'm going to make another post about the weekend that was. It was one of those weird weekends in college football that remind us why we love the game so much.  It also made me happy to finish with a win on such an odd week.

Update on the FIVE Investment fund:  This week, according to CappedIn tracking, we swung from a slight loss on the season to a small profit.  Current balance is $68 and change to the good.  The value of ML hits y'all.  As a reminder, this is based on $100 bets that track my FIVE picks.

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