After last Saturday, and then Sunday, with my NFL fantasy results, I can safely say that (this week) I know nothing about football. As I sat in my hotel room with the wife Saturday night and watched the scores roll by I knew I was in for a rough week. Then, when BYU hit a 2nd consecutive Hail Joseph to pull out a victory over Boise St. I knew I was just flat out screwed.
The carnage? 0-5 ATS and a pathetic 3-2 SU. This lowers my early season standings to 3-7 ATS and only 7-3 SU. It got worse when I checked my NFL fantasy and saw that I went 0-4 (pending) and the Texans came out and looked like crap. All that I need to complete the weekend of suck is a 49ers humiliation tonight.
It happens. One thing that people don't say about sports betting is that picking winners is not a science. You can run all of the numbers and have confidence in your picks and then the games get played. All that said, I can't remember a week where I've gone 0-fer, which makes me re-evaluate things this time around.
The good thing about football is that, for the most part, you have a next week. Which I, fortunately do. I also realize that, by just picking 5 games, I'm limiting myself. This is not something I would do were I betting in Vegas. I'd have flexibility up until before kick-off to watch the lines move etc. The good news is the goal, proving that you can, with just a little bit of preparation and knowledge, finish a season over 50%, is still in play*.
Week 3 will be better. One thing's for sure, it can't get any worse.
*Again, remember the goal here. I'm not selling you picks and I'm hoping that you don't put any stock into any of this. I'm not a professional gambler, I'm an accountant who likes to wager some coin when I'm in Vegas. I also think that tout services are overpriced and unnecessary for the typical sports better. Only a select few consistently beat the books. And it's very hard for them to get any action down. Just read these for enjoyment, because that's all I'm doing it for.