Recapping the weekend that was. Week 6 in College football & Week 5 for the NFL

Late Friday evening I thought: "Hey, I'm finally getting a read on this season."

Then Saturday happened, and all of my momentum got sucked out of the window.  Final tally?  2-3 on the FIVE 2-1 on the NFL Three & Out. Still, things could have been worse.....

The FIVE: 2-3 (12-17-1 Season tally [.400])

1. Utah State @ BYU (-2.5) [54]

Pick: Utah State to WIN on the ML.

Final Score: Utah State 45 BYU 20 - I think we've hit the point where BYU's tough schedule starts affecting them It also doesn't help the Cougars that Utah State is much better than a lot of us thought going into the season.

2. Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan (-4.5) [57]

Pick: Eastern Michigan to COVER +4.5

Final Score: Eastern Michigan 24 Western Michigan 27 - At this point I was starting to think I was going to get the weekend that I needed. Either 4-1 or 5-0, but the football gods had different ideas....

3. East Carolina @ Temple (-11) [52.5]

Pick: East Carolina to COVER -11

Final Score: East Carolina 6 Temple 49 - This was a horrid miss. I honestly thought that ECU had enough to keep it close. Clearly I thought wrong.

4. LSU (-2.5) @ Florida [43.5]

Pick: LSU to COVER -2.5

Final Score: LSU 19 Florida 27 - My luck picking road teams to win is horrid right now. LSU has looked great up until this point and Florida has looked very "Meh". Total switch from trends as the Tigers seemingly forgot how to play defense.  Frustrating result.

5. Auburn (-3.5) @ Mississippi State [42]

Pick: Auburn to COVER -3.5

Final Score: Auburn 9 Mississippi State 23 - Yet another road favorite that laid an egg. It's pretty clear that I overrated Auburn in my analysis. It's time to knock them down a few pegs, especially in my ratings for their offense.


Thoughts on games in which I had a rooting interest:

New Mexico @ UNLV (-9.5) [63.5]

Final Score: New Mexico 50 UNLV 14 - We knew it was going to be tough without QB Armani Rodgers, but the level of domination that a pretty bad Lobos team showed against the Rebels was shocking. UNLV looked unprepared, unenthused and they are a mess right now. They have a better-than-expected Utah State team up next.  They might lose by 60 if they don't get things straight.  After this game I think it's time to put an end to the Tony Sanchez experiment.  It was that bad.

Maryland @ Michigan (-17.5) [48]

Final Score: Maryland 21 Michigan 42 - The team started off slowly, again, but picked it up in the second half and walked away with what looks to be, on paper, an easy win.  But it was HARD to win this game. Too hard considering the talent advantage that Michigan currently enjoys over the Terrapins. With Wisconsin coming up next week (AT Camp Randall) the team had better figure this out of it's going to be a Looooong season.



The Week 5 NFL Three & Out.

Weekend Results: 2-1 (8-7 season tally [.53333])

1. Atlanta @ Pittsburgh (-3) [57.5]

Pick: OVER 57.5

Final Result: Atlanta 17 Pittsburgh 41 - It didn't go over by much, but it DID go over and that's all that matters. Signs here that Pittsburgh is finally starting to get it together.

2. Denver @ NY Jets (-2.5) [43]

Pick: Denver to win on the ML

Final Result: Denver 16 New York Jets 34 - I have no explanation for this one. Denver made the Jets look competent on offense and that's hard to do. Case Keenum is reverting to his mean for Denver this year. He's a competent backup QB and could have a long career in that role. As a starter however he just can't get the job done.

3. Dallas @ Houston (-3.5) [45.5]

Pick: Dallas to COVER +3.5

Final Result: Dallas 16 Houston 19 - This Sunday Night game set football back about 30 years. It was a horrid game between two very bad teams. Fortunately for both of them they're in crap divisions which means that they both still have a path to winning the division and getting in to the playoffs. That this game went to overtime is a sign that all of us have done something very wrong. We need to confess our sins so that a monstrosity on this level is never seen again.

Despite the rough record my "FIVE Investment fund" is only tallied at a loss of around $75 so far this season. I get it, that's not great, but it could have been a lot worse.  What's helped me financially is the selection of a few money line upsets at pretty good odds.

For the NFL I'm up around $200 and running ahead of the VIG due again to some moneyline picks.

If I can just get some momentum built for college football we should be able to turn this around and start showing a consistent profit.

On to next week then.